This calculator works out your actual, realised win rate from your trade history, along with your average win and loss size, giving you a genuine snapshot of your strategy's real performance so far.
Enter your number of winning trades, losing trades, and average win/loss amounts, and the calculator returns your win rate and expectancy, learn more in our guide on why win rate alone means nothing without risk-reward context.
This calculator is for educational purposes only. Enter average loss as a positive number.
The Break-Even Win Rate Calculator tells you the win rate your strategy needs to reach, based on your risk-reward ratio, before you've traded it. This calculator tracks your actual, realised win rate from trades you've already taken, a genuinely different, after-the-fact measurement.
There's no universal answer, win rate alone doesn't determine profitability, a strategy with a 40% win rate and strong risk-reward can be more profitable than one with a 65% win rate and poor risk-reward, always consider win rate alongside your average win/loss size.
More trades generally produce a more statistically reliable win rate, many traders look for at least 30-50 trades as a starting reference, with 100+ considered more robust for drawing firm conclusions about a strategy's true performance.
This is a personal tracking choice, some traders count trades closed at exactly break-even as neither wins nor losses (excluded from the calculation), others count them as losses, be consistent with whichever convention you choose across your journal.
Not automatically, normal variance means win rate will fluctuate over any given stretch of trades, a genuinely meaningful decline is easier to identify by comparing win rate across larger, non-overlapping sample periods rather than reacting to short-term dips.